The rule checklist
Name the actual event, avoid vague referenced-by phrasing, set a measurable trigger, name the official source, set a deadline and allow early settlement if the outcome becomes official.
Explore by country and topic
Jump from this page into the country and category pages people most often use to follow politics, economy, sport, culture and market education.
Bad wording to avoid
Avoid questions like 'Will the culture event referenced by a source happen?' The user should not need to have read the article to understand the market.
Good wording pattern
Use: Will [named event or measurable outcome] happen before [date], as confirmed by [official source]? That creates a market people can understand and search for.
Live NordCast markets
Open contracts are linked here with their deadline and settlement source. Open a contract to see its current price.
How to use this page
A good market says exactly what must happen and by when.
Official sources should settle the outcome before news commentary does.
Prices are probability-style signals, strongest when volume and activity are high.
FAQ
What is the most common bad market rule?
A vague question that references an article without naming the actual event or measurable trigger.
Should every market have a source?
Yes. The source is what makes settlement credible.
Should a market mention the date?
Yes. Deadlines make markets searchable, tradable and resolvable.
Keep exploring NordCast
NordCast is a Nordic-first public alpha for prediction markets. Use the country hubs, topic pages and live market cards to move from a broad question into a specific contract.