The clean settlement hierarchy
News can move a price aggressively when a story is clearly reported. Official government, statistical, sports, company or event sources should decide final settlement.
Explore by country and topic
Jump from this page into the country and category pages people most often use to follow politics, economy, sport, culture and market education.
Early settlement
If the official outcome is known before the close date, the market should settle immediately. Users should not have to wait until the listed date when the result is already official.
Source examples
Danish politics should use Kongehuset, Statsministeriet, Regeringen.dk and Folketinget. Macro markets should use Statistics Denmark, SCB, SSB and central banks. F1 markets should use FIA or Formula 1 classifications.
Live NordCast markets
Open contracts are linked here with their deadline and settlement source. Open a contract to see its current price.
How to use this page
A good market says exactly what must happen and by when.
Official sources should settle the outcome before news commentary does.
Prices are probability-style signals, strongest when volume and activity are high.
FAQ
Can news settle a market?
Usually no. News can inform prices, but official sources should settle whenever a public official source exists.
Can a market settle before its close date?
Yes, if the official outcome is already known.
What happens if sources disagree?
The market rule should name the hierarchy. If confidence is low, the market should remain awaiting resolution.
Keep exploring NordCast
NordCast is a Nordic-first public alpha for prediction markets. Use the country hubs, topic pages and live market cards to move from a broad question into a specific contract.