NNordCast
Settlement rules

How settlement works on NordCast

A market is only useful if users understand how it resolves. NordCast should use news to move prices, but official sources to settle outcomes whenever possible.

Start here prediction market settlement rules

Users, journalists and market creators who want confidence that outcomes are not arbitrary.

Open live markets Explore Denmark

The clean settlement hierarchy

News can move a price aggressively when a story is clearly reported. Official government, statistical, sports, company or event sources should decide final settlement.

Explore by country and topic

Jump from this page into the country and category pages people most often use to follow politics, economy, sport, culture and market education.

Learn prediction markets Prediction markets vs odds Learn the difference between prediction markets, bookmaker odds, polls and forecasts, with Nordic examples from politics, economy, sport and culture. Learn prediction markets Forudsigelsesmarkeder Dansk guide til forudsigelsesmarkeder i Danmark: folketingsvalg, regering, statsminister, boligpriser, inflation, sport, vejr og kultur på NordCast. Learn prediction markets What are prediction markets? A plain-English guide to prediction markets, event contracts, probability-style prices and how NordCast applies them to Nordic public events. Learn prediction markets How to read prices Learn how NordCast market prices work, why prices are shown as probability points, and how to read Yes, No, spread, volume and price movement.

Early settlement

If the official outcome is known before the close date, the market should settle immediately. Users should not have to wait until the listed date when the result is already official.

Source examples

Danish politics should use Kongehuset, Statsministeriet, Regeringen.dk and Folketinget. Macro markets should use Statistics Denmark, SCB, SSB and central banks. F1 markets should use FIA or Formula 1 classifications.

Live NordCast markets

These linked contracts give search visitors something useful immediately: a real market question, a current price snapshot, a deadline, and a source.

Updated 22 August 2026
Denmark · Government

Will Mette Frederiksen remain prime minister after the next government is formed?

99 Yes 1 No

DKK 5.1M · closes Jun 30, 2026 · source: Statsministeriet

 Denmark · Coalition

Will the Moderates be part of the next Danish government?

99 Yes 1 No

DKK 2.4M · closes Jun 30, 2026 · source: Statsministeriet / TV 2

 Denmark · Real estate

Will Danish one-family house prices rise at least 6% YoY in Q1 2026?

61 Yes 40 No

DKK 5.6M · closes May 25, 2026 · source: Statistics Denmark EJ5

 Sweden · Economy

Will the Riksbank cut its policy rate before October 1, 2026?

57 Yes 44 No

SEK 3.8M · closes Oct 1, 2026 · source: Riksbank

 Norway · Economy

Will Norwegian CPI inflation for June be at least 2.5% YoY?

52 Yes 49 No

NOK 2.6M · closes Jul 10, 2026 · source: SSB

 Global · Formula 1

Will Mercedes win the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship?

86 Yes 15 No

DKK 4.1M · closes Dec 6, 2026 · source: F1 official constructor standings

How to use this page

1. Read the question

A good market says exactly what must happen and by when.

2. Check the source

Official sources should settle the outcome before news commentary does.

3. Compare the price

Prices are probability-style signals, strongest when volume and activity are high.

FAQ

Can news settle a market?

Usually no. News can inform prices, but official sources should settle whenever a public official source exists.

Can a market settle before its close date?

Yes, if the official outcome is already known.

What happens if sources disagree?

The market rule should name the hierarchy. If confidence is low, the market should remain awaiting resolution.

Keep exploring NordCast

NordCast is a Nordic-first public alpha for prediction markets. Use the country hubs, topic pages and live market cards to move from a broad question into a specific contract.

Denmark Danmark hub Danmarks NordCast-hub for prediction markets, folketingsvalg odds, statsminister odds, boligpriser, inflation, earnings, sport, vejr og kultur. Sweden Sverige hub Sveriges NordCast-hub for riksdagsvalet 2026 odds, svensk politik, Riksbanken, inflation, bolag, sport, väder och kultur. Norway Norge hub Norges NordCast-hub for norsk politikk odds, statsminister, Norges Bank, inflasjon, boligpriser, sport, vær, kultur og selskaper. Europe and platform alternatives European prediction markets European prediction markets for politics, economy, sport, weather, culture, and earnings, starting with Denmark, Sweden, Norway and the Nordics. Politics and elections Nordic politics odds A Nordic politics hub for Danish, Swedish and Norwegian election odds, prime minister markets, government formation and coalition probabilities. Economy, rates and housing Nordic economy forecasts Nordic macro prediction markets for inflation, central bank rates, GDP, housing, public finances and official economic releases. Sport and Formula 1 Nordic sports markets Sports prediction markets for Nordic football, Tour de France, Formula 1, winter sports and major international events with Nordic interest. Culture and Eurovision Nordic Eurovision odds Eurovision and national-final prediction markets for Denmark, Sweden, Norway and broader Nordic music outcomes. Learn prediction markets Prediction markets vs odds Learn the difference between prediction markets, bookmaker odds, polls and forecasts, with Nordic examples from politics, economy, sport and culture.
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