NNordCast
Music Sweden ID: SE-MELFEST-FELICIA

Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?

Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026? NordCast market: Yes 18% · No 83% · Sweden Music · Vol SEK 3.7M · Closes Mar 15 · Source: SVT Melodifestivalen.

18% Yes 83% No
Probability-style priceUpdated 13 June 2026
VolumeSEK 3.7M
Spread4 pts
CloseMar 15
SourceSVT Melodifestivalen

Market rules and settlement

Resolution question

This market resolves Yes if the event in "Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?" happens according to the listed rule and source. Otherwise it resolves No.

Primary source

SVT Melodifestivalen should be checked first for final settlement. Major news reporting can move the market before settlement, but the final result should be traceable to the official source.

Context

NordCast markets are written as clear yes-or-no event contracts with a deadline, source, and probability-style market price.

FAQ

What does this NordCast market ask?

It asks whether the outcome in "Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026?" resolves Yes or No before the listed close date.

How does this market settle?

The market should resolve using SVT Melodifestivalen as the primary settlement source. News can provide context, but the final outcome should be auditable from the source rule.

How should I read the 18% price?

NordCast prices are shown as probability-style points from 0 to 100. A Yes price of 18% means the market is currently implying roughly a 18% chance of Yes.