NNordCast
Weather Denmark ID: DK-CPH-FROST-NOV1

Will Copenhagen record first autumn frost before Nov. 1, 2026?

Will Copenhagen record first autumn frost before Nov. 1, 2026? NordCast market: Yes 35% · No 66% · Denmark Weather · Vol DKK 752K · Closes Oct 31 · Source: DMI.

35% Yes 66% No
Probability-style priceUpdated 13 June 2026
VolumeDKK 752K
Spread4 pts
CloseOct 31
SourceDMI

Market rules and settlement

Resolution question

This market resolves Yes if the event in "Will Copenhagen record first autumn frost before Nov. 1, 2026?" happens according to the listed rule and source. Otherwise it resolves No.

Primary source

DMI should be checked first for final settlement. Major news reporting can move the market before settlement, but the final result should be traceable to the official source.

Context

Weather markets should settle from official meteorological observations, not from a general impression of the day. The rule should match the city, observation window, and threshold in the question.

FAQ

What does this NordCast market ask?

It asks whether the outcome in "Will Copenhagen record first autumn frost before Nov. 1, 2026?" resolves Yes or No before the listed close date.

How does this market settle?

The market should resolve using DMI as the primary settlement source. News can provide context, but the final outcome should be auditable from the source rule.

How should I read the 35% price?

NordCast prices are shown as probability-style points from 0 to 100. A Yes price of 35% means the market is currently implying roughly a 35% chance of Yes.