NNordCast
Policy Denmark ID: DK-DEF-35GDP

Will Danish defence spending reach at least 3.5% of GDP in 2026?

Will Danish defence spending reach at least 3.5% of GDP in 2026? NordCast market: Yes 71% · No 30% · Denmark Policy · Vol DKK 3.8M · Closes Dec 31 · Source: Defence Ministry.

71% Yes 30% No
Probability-style priceUpdated 13 June 2026
VolumeDKK 3.8M
Spread2 pts
CloseDec 31
SourceDefence Ministry

Market rules and settlement

Resolution question

This market resolves Yes if the event in "Will Danish defence spending reach at least 3.5% of GDP in 2026?" happens according to the listed rule and source. Otherwise it resolves No.

Primary source

Defence Ministry should be checked first for final settlement. Major news reporting can move the market before settlement, but the final result should be traceable to the official source.

Context

NordCast markets are written as clear yes-or-no event contracts with a deadline, source, and probability-style market price.

FAQ

What does this NordCast market ask?

It asks whether the outcome in "Will Danish defence spending reach at least 3.5% of GDP in 2026?" resolves Yes or No before the listed close date.

How does this market settle?

The market should resolve using Defence Ministry as the primary settlement source. News can provide context, but the final outcome should be auditable from the source rule.

How should I read the 71% price?

NordCast prices are shown as probability-style points from 0 to 100. A Yes price of 71% means the market is currently implying roughly a 71% chance of Yes.