Will the next Danish government exclude the Social Democrats? NordCast market: Yes 1% · No 99% · Denmark Coalition · Vol DKK 4.3M · Closes Jun 30 · Source: Statsministeriet / TV 2.
This market resolves Yes if the event in "Will the next Danish government exclude the Social Democrats?" happens according to the listed rule and source. Otherwise it resolves No.
Statsministeriet / TV 2 should be checked first for final settlement. Major news reporting can move the market before settlement, but the final result should be traceable to the official source.
Political markets should move when high-quality reporting changes the public picture, but final settlement should rely on official sources such as a government office, parliament, royal house, election authority, or cabinet announcement.
It asks whether the outcome in "Will the next Danish government exclude the Social Democrats?" resolves Yes or No before the listed close date.
The market should resolve using Statsministeriet / TV 2 as the primary settlement source. News can provide context, but the final outcome should be auditable from the source rule.
NordCast prices are shown as probability-style points from 0 to 100. A Yes price of 1% means the market is currently implying roughly a 1% chance of Yes.