NNordCast
Government Denmark ID: DK-GOV-THIRD-NEG

Will King Frederik X open a third government-formation round before a cabinet is formed?

Will King Frederik X open a third government-formation round before a cabinet is formed? NordCast market: Yes 99% · No 1% · Denmark Government · Vol DKK 1.7M · Closes Jun 15 · Source: Kongehuset.

99% Yes 1% No
Probability-style priceUpdated 13 June 2026
VolumeDKK 1.7M
Spread1 pt
CloseJun 15
SourceKongehuset

Market rules and settlement

Resolution question

This market resolves Yes if the event in "Will King Frederik X open a third government-formation round before a cabinet is formed?" happens according to the listed rule and source. Otherwise it resolves No.

Primary source

Kongehuset should be checked first for final settlement. Major news reporting can move the market before settlement, but the final result should be traceable to the official source.

Context

Political markets should move when high-quality reporting changes the public picture, but final settlement should rely on official sources such as a government office, parliament, royal house, election authority, or cabinet announcement.

FAQ

What does this NordCast market ask?

It asks whether the outcome in "Will King Frederik X open a third government-formation round before a cabinet is formed?" resolves Yes or No before the listed close date.

How does this market settle?

The market should resolve using Kongehuset as the primary settlement source. News can provide context, but the final outcome should be auditable from the source rule.

How should I read the 99% price?

NordCast prices are shown as probability-style points from 0 to 100. A Yes price of 99% means the market is currently implying roughly a 99% chance of Yes.