NNordCast
Weather Denmark ID: DK-ROSK-25C

Will Roskilde Festival 2026 have at least one day above 25°C?

Will Roskilde Festival 2026 have at least one day above 25°C? NordCast market: Yes 64% · No 37% · Denmark Weather · Vol DKK 1.3M · Closes Jul 4 · Source: DMI.

64% Yes 37% No
Probability-style priceUpdated 13 June 2026
VolumeDKK 1.3M
Spread3 pts
CloseJul 4
SourceDMI

Market rules and settlement

Resolution question

This market resolves Yes if the event in "Will Roskilde Festival 2026 have at least one day above 25°C?" happens according to the listed rule and source. Otherwise it resolves No.

Primary source

DMI should be checked first for final settlement. Major news reporting can move the market before settlement, but the final result should be traceable to the official source.

Context

Weather markets should settle from official meteorological observations, not from a general impression of the day. The rule should match the city, observation window, and threshold in the question.

FAQ

What does this NordCast market ask?

It asks whether the outcome in "Will Roskilde Festival 2026 have at least one day above 25°C?" resolves Yes or No before the listed close date.

How does this market settle?

The market should resolve using DMI as the primary settlement source. News can provide context, but the final outcome should be auditable from the source rule.

How should I read the 64% price?

NordCast prices are shown as probability-style points from 0 to 100. A Yes price of 64% means the market is currently implying roughly a 64% chance of Yes.