NNordCast
Weather Denmark ID: DK-SUMMER-WARM

Will Denmark's summer 2026 mean temperature exceed the 1991-2020 normal?

Will Denmark's summer 2026 mean temperature exceed the 1991-2020 normal? NordCast market: Yes 59% · No 42% · Denmark Weather · Vol DKK 1.6M · Closes Aug 31 · Source: DMI.

59% Yes 42% No
Probability-style priceUpdated 13 June 2026
VolumeDKK 1.6M
Spread3 pts
CloseAug 31
SourceDMI

Market rules and settlement

Resolution question

This market resolves Yes if the event in "Will Denmark's summer 2026 mean temperature exceed the 1991-2020 normal?" happens according to the listed rule and source. Otherwise it resolves No.

Primary source

DMI should be checked first for final settlement. Major news reporting can move the market before settlement, but the final result should be traceable to the official source.

Context

Weather markets should settle from official meteorological observations, not from a general impression of the day. The rule should match the city, observation window, and threshold in the question.

FAQ

What does this NordCast market ask?

It asks whether the outcome in "Will Denmark's summer 2026 mean temperature exceed the 1991-2020 normal?" resolves Yes or No before the listed close date.

How does this market settle?

The market should resolve using DMI as the primary settlement source. News can provide context, but the final outcome should be auditable from the source rule.

How should I read the 59% price?

NordCast prices are shown as probability-style points from 0 to 100. A Yes price of 59% means the market is currently implying roughly a 59% chance of Yes.