NNordCast
Politics Norway ID: NO-PM-STORE-2026

Will Jonas Gahr Støre remain Norway's prime minister through Dec. 31, 2026?

Will Jonas Gahr Støre remain Norway's prime minister through Dec. 31, 2026? NordCast market: Yes 71% · No 30% · Norway · Politics · Vol NOK 4.2M · Closes Dec 31 · Source: Regjeringen.no.

71% Yes 30% No
Probability-style priceUpdated 3 July 2026
VolumeNOK 4.2M
Spread2 pts
CloseDec 31
SourceRegjeringen.no

Market rules and settlement

Resolution question

This market resolves Yes if the event in "Will Jonas Gahr Støre remain Norway's prime minister through Dec. 31, 2026?" happens according to the listed rule and source. Otherwise it resolves No.

Primary source

Regjeringen.no should be checked first for final settlement. Major news reporting can move the market before settlement, but the final result should be traceable to the official source.

Context

Political markets should move when high-quality reporting changes the public picture, but final settlement should rely on official sources such as a government office, parliament, royal house, election authority, or cabinet announcement.

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FAQ

What does this NordCast market ask?

It asks whether the outcome in "Will Jonas Gahr Støre remain Norway's prime minister through Dec. 31, 2026?" resolves Yes or No before the listed close date.

How does this market settle?

The market should resolve using Regjeringen.no as the primary settlement source. News can provide context, but the final outcome should be auditable from the source rule.

How should I read the 71% price?

NordCast prices are shown as probability-style points from 0 to 100. A Yes price of 71% means the market is currently implying roughly a 71% chance of Yes.