NNordCast
Politics Sweden ID: SE-GOV-SD-CAB

Will the Sweden Democrats be part of the next Swedish government cabinet?

Will the Sweden Democrats be part of the next Swedish government cabinet? NordCast market: Yes 31% · No 70% · Sweden Politics · Vol SEK 5.6M · Closes Sep 30 · Source: Regeringen / Valmyndigheten.

31% Yes 70% No
Probability-style priceUpdated 13 June 2026
VolumeSEK 5.6M
Spread3 pts
CloseSep 30
SourceRegeringen / Valmyndigheten

Market rules and settlement

Resolution question

This market resolves Yes if the event in "Will the Sweden Democrats be part of the next Swedish government cabinet?" happens according to the listed rule and source. Otherwise it resolves No.

Primary source

Regeringen / Valmyndigheten should be checked first for final settlement. Major news reporting can move the market before settlement, but the final result should be traceable to the official source.

Context

Political markets should move when high-quality reporting changes the public picture, but final settlement should rely on official sources such as a government office, parliament, royal house, election authority, or cabinet announcement.

FAQ

What does this NordCast market ask?

It asks whether the outcome in "Will the Sweden Democrats be part of the next Swedish government cabinet?" resolves Yes or No before the listed close date.

How does this market settle?

The market should resolve using Regeringen / Valmyndigheten as the primary settlement source. News can provide context, but the final outcome should be auditable from the source rule.

How should I read the 31% price?

NordCast prices are shown as probability-style points from 0 to 100. A Yes price of 31% means the market is currently implying roughly a 31% chance of Yes.