NNordCast
Politics Sweden ID: SE-TURNOUT-85

Will turnout in Sweden's 2026 general election exceed 85%?

Will turnout in Sweden's 2026 general election exceed 85%? NordCast market: Yes 58% · No 43% · Sweden Politics · Vol SEK 2.0M · Closes Sep 14 · Source: Valmyndigheten.

58% Yes 43% No
Probability-style priceUpdated 13 June 2026
VolumeSEK 2.0M
Spread3 pts
CloseSep 14
SourceValmyndigheten

Market rules and settlement

Resolution question

This market resolves Yes if the event in "Will turnout in Sweden's 2026 general election exceed 85%?" happens according to the listed rule and source. Otherwise it resolves No.

Primary source

Valmyndigheten should be checked first for final settlement. Major news reporting can move the market before settlement, but the final result should be traceable to the official source.

Context

Political markets should move when high-quality reporting changes the public picture, but final settlement should rely on official sources such as a government office, parliament, royal house, election authority, or cabinet announcement.

FAQ

What does this NordCast market ask?

It asks whether the outcome in "Will turnout in Sweden's 2026 general election exceed 85%?" resolves Yes or No before the listed close date.

How does this market settle?

The market should resolve using Valmyndigheten as the primary settlement source. News can provide context, but the final outcome should be auditable from the source rule.

How should I read the 58% price?

NordCast prices are shown as probability-style points from 0 to 100. A Yes price of 58% means the market is currently implying roughly a 58% chance of Yes.