NNordCast
Weather Norway ID: NO-OSLO-30C

Will Oslo record 30°C or higher before September 1, 2026?

Will Oslo record 30°C or higher before September 1, 2026? NordCast market: Yes 42% · No 59% · Norway Weather · Vol NOK 1.9M · Closes Aug 31 · Source: MET Norway.

42% Yes 59% No
Probability-style priceUpdated 13 June 2026
VolumeNOK 1.9M
Spread3 pts
CloseAug 31
SourceMET Norway

Market rules and settlement

Resolution question

This market resolves Yes if the event in "Will Oslo record 30°C or higher before September 1, 2026?" happens according to the listed rule and source. Otherwise it resolves No.

Primary source

MET Norway should be checked first for final settlement. Major news reporting can move the market before settlement, but the final result should be traceable to the official source.

Context

Weather markets should settle from official meteorological observations, not from a general impression of the day. The rule should match the city, observation window, and threshold in the question.

FAQ

What does this NordCast market ask?

It asks whether the outcome in "Will Oslo record 30°C or higher before September 1, 2026?" resolves Yes or No before the listed close date.

How does this market settle?

The market should resolve using MET Norway as the primary settlement source. News can provide context, but the final outcome should be auditable from the source rule.

How should I read the 42% price?

NordCast prices are shown as probability-style points from 0 to 100. A Yes price of 42% means the market is currently implying roughly a 42% chance of Yes.