NNordCast
Weather Norway ID: NO-OSLO-XMAS-SNOW

Will Oslo have measurable snow on Christmas Day 2026?

Will Oslo have measurable snow on Christmas Day 2026? NordCast market: Yes 48% · No 53% · Norway · Weather · Vol NOK 1.8M · Closes Dec 25 · Source: MET Norway.

48% Yes 53% No
Probability-style priceUpdated 3 July 2026
VolumeNOK 1.8M
Spread4 pts
CloseDec 25
SourceMET Norway

Market rules and settlement

Resolution question

This market resolves Yes if the event in "Will Oslo have measurable snow on Christmas Day 2026?" happens according to the listed rule and source. Otherwise it resolves No.

Primary source

MET Norway should be checked first for final settlement. Major news reporting can move the market before settlement, but the final result should be traceable to the official source.

Context

Weather markets should settle from official meteorological observations, not from a general impression of the day. The rule should match the city, observation window, and threshold in the question.

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FAQ

What does this NordCast market ask?

It asks whether the outcome in "Will Oslo have measurable snow on Christmas Day 2026?" resolves Yes or No before the listed close date.

How does this market settle?

The market should resolve using MET Norway as the primary settlement source. News can provide context, but the final outcome should be auditable from the source rule.

How should I read the 48% price?

NordCast prices are shown as probability-style points from 0 to 100. A Yes price of 48% means the market is currently implying roughly a 48% chance of Yes.