The simple version
If a Yes price is 64, the market is roughly saying the event has a 64 percent chance. If new information arrives, users trade and the price can move.
Explore by country and topic
Jump from this page into the country and category pages people most often use to follow politics, economy, sport, culture and market education.
Why markets can be useful
A prediction market compresses many views into one number. It does not guarantee truth, but it gives readers a live signal that can change as evidence changes.
Why NordCast focuses on the Nordics
Local questions are often missing from global platforms. NordCast starts with Denmark, Sweden and Norway because those markets need local sources and local-language pages.
Live NordCast markets
Open contracts are linked here with their deadline and settlement source. Open a contract to see its current price.
Will Magdalena Andersson become Sweden's prime minister after the 2026 election?
closes 30 Sept 2026 · source: Regeringen · view current price
Global · Formula 1Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?
closes 6 Dec 2026 · source: F1 official driver standings · view current price
How to use this page
A good market says exactly what must happen and by when.
Official sources should settle the outcome before news commentary does.
Prices are probability-style signals, strongest when volume and activity are high.
FAQ
What is a prediction market?
A market where users take positions on whether a future event will happen.
What is an event contract?
A yes-or-no contract tied to a specific future outcome and settlement rule.
Can a market price be wrong?
Yes. It is a live crowd signal, not a guarantee.
Keep exploring NordCast
NordCast is a Nordic-first public alpha for prediction markets. Use the country hubs, topic pages and live market cards to move from a broad question into a specific contract.