How to read prediction market prices from 0 to 100

A price is a probability-style signal

A Yes price of 58 means the market currently implies about 58 percent. The No side is the opposite outcome, and the spread shows how tight or thin the market is.

Explore by country and topic

Jump from this page into the country and category pages people most often use to follow politics, economy, sport, culture and market education.

Learn prediction markets Prediction markets vs odds Learn the difference between prediction markets, bookmaker odds, polls and forecasts, with Nordic examples from politics, economy, sport and culture. Learn prediction markets Forudsigelsesmarkeder Dansk guide til forudsigelsesmarkeder i Danmark: folketingsvalg, regering, statsminister, boligpriser, inflation, sport, vejr og kultur på NordCast. Learn prediction markets What are prediction markets? A plain-English guide to prediction markets, event contracts, probability-style prices and how NordCast applies them to Nordic public events. Learn prediction markets Settlement rules How NordCast uses official sources, deadlines, early settlement and corroborating news to resolve Nordic prediction markets clearly.

What volume means

Volume shows activity, not certainty. A high-volume market is usually a stronger public signal than a thin market, but both can still be wrong.

What price movement means

A big move usually means new information, more trading or both. The market detail page should show the chart, order book and the sources that moved the price.

Live NordCast markets

These linked contracts give search visitors something useful immediately: a real market question, a current price snapshot, a deadline, and a source.

Updated 22 August 2026

Denmark · Government

Will Mette Frederiksen remain prime minister after the next government is formed?

99 Yes 1 No

DKK 5.1M · closes Jun 30, 2026 · source: Statsministeriet

Sweden · Politics

Will Magdalena Andersson become Sweden's prime minister after the 2026 election?

47 Yes 54 No

SEK 4.9M · closes Sep 30, 2026 · source: Regeringen

Norway · Politics

Will Jonas Gahr Støre remain Norway's prime minister through Dec. 31, 2026?

71 Yes 30 No

NOK 4.2M · closes Dec 31, 2026 · source: Regjeringen.no

Denmark · Earnings

Will Novo Nordisk report Q2 2026 revenue above its Q1 2026 revenue?

52 Yes 49 No

DKK 7.8M · closes Aug 6, 2026 · source: Novo Nordisk Q1 2026 report

Sweden · Economy

Will the Riksbank cut its policy rate before October 1, 2026?

57 Yes 44 No

SEK 3.8M · closes Oct 1, 2026 · source: Riksbank

Global · Formula 1

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?

55 Yes 46 No

DKK 4.8M · closes Dec 6, 2026 · source: F1 official driver standings

How to use this page

1. Read the question

A good market says exactly what must happen and by when.

2. Check the source

Official sources should settle the outcome before news commentary does.

3. Compare the price

Prices are probability-style signals, strongest when volume and activity are high.

FAQ

Why not show cents?

NordCast is Nordic-first, so probability points are cleaner than US cent language.

Does 80 mean guaranteed?

No. It means the market currently implies about an 80 percent chance.

What is spread?

The gap between the best available Yes and No prices. Wide spreads can signal thinner markets.

Keep exploring NordCast

NordCast is a Nordic-first public alpha for prediction markets. Use the country hubs, topic pages and live market cards to move from a broad question into a specific contract.

Denmark Danmark hub Danmarks NordCast-hub for prediction markets, folketingsvalg odds, statsminister odds, boligpriser, inflation, earnings, sport, vejr og kultur. Sweden Sverige hub Sveriges NordCast-hub for riksdagsvalet 2026 odds, svensk politik, Riksbanken, inflation, bolag, sport, väder och kultur. Norway Norge hub Norges NordCast-hub for norsk politikk odds, statsminister, Norges Bank, inflasjon, boligpriser, sport, vær, kultur og selskaper. Europe and platform alternatives European prediction markets European prediction markets for politics, economy, sport, weather, culture, and earnings, starting with Denmark, Sweden, Norway and the Nordics. Politics and elections Nordic politics odds A Nordic politics hub for Danish, Swedish and Norwegian election odds, prime minister markets, government formation and coalition probabilities. Economy, rates and housing Nordic economy forecasts Nordic macro prediction markets for inflation, central bank rates, GDP, housing, public finances and official economic releases. Sport and Formula 1 Nordic sports markets Sports prediction markets for Nordic football, Tour de France, Formula 1, winter sports and major international events with Nordic interest. Culture and Eurovision Nordic Eurovision odds Eurovision and national-final prediction markets for Denmark, Sweden, Norway and broader Nordic music outcomes. Learn prediction markets Prediction markets vs odds Learn the difference between prediction markets, bookmaker odds, polls and forecasts, with Nordic examples from politics, economy, sport and culture.

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